Rog's world online

MMOs

Sticky

Screens

Related

Gamers

Others

Comments

LOTRO

Rog is currently playing Lord of the Rings Online, along with friends from the Gloomy Bears on the Landroval server.

Harhm (Rog)
Nelgdorf (Nelg)
Nazrin (Michelle)
Pulltab (Lurch)
Gwendelen (Aife)
Ninhydran (Philip)

We will likely be joining a guild in-game soon.

Tue
22
Apr '08

The Democratic nomination

Rog posted in

Just on a purely math / statistical point of view and not involving any political banter, it looks like Barack Obama will win the U.S. Democratic nomination, barring some giant shift in the landscape. I'm pointing this out because it's largely ignored by the mainstream news, I suppose they're more interested in making it seem like a dragged out fight even if this conclusion is probable.

CNN has an easy delegate calculator chart that makes it fairly obvious, of the remaining delegates:

Clinton needs 62% to claim the nomination.

Obama needs 44% to claim the nomination.

Obama doesn't need to win states outright, he just needs to fall within that margin, including the remaining Superdelegates.

Clinton won today in Pennsylvania, but not by a wide enough margin to make a serious dent in the seats Obama has already won. By most accounts, it was her strongest state of those remaining and 55% just isn't enough. If she continued with exactly those numbers (which seems unlikely) she still wouldn't stop Obama from going over the top.

Politically of course, it's presumptuous to point this out.

(11:43 pm)

Post new comment

The content of this field is kept private and will not be shown publicly.
  • You may post PHP code. You should include <?php ?> tags.
  • Allowed HTML tags: <a> <em> <strong> <cite> <code> <ul> <ol> <li> <dl> <dt> <dd> <h3> <h4> <h5> <h6> <b> <i> <img> <u> <span>
  • You may post code using <code>...</code> (generic) or <?php ... ?> (highlighted PHP) tags.
  • You may quote other posts using [quote] tags.
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.
  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.

More information about formatting options

CAPTCHA
This is a test for human visitors, to avoid spam bots. Note that it is case-sensitive, so r is different than R.
   _____   _____   _____      __      __      __    ______ 
/ ____| | ____| | __ \ / / / / / / |____ |
| | | |__ | |__) | / /_ / /_ / /_ / /
| | |___ \ | ___/ | '_ \ | '_ \ | '_ \ / /
| |____ ___) | | | | (_) | | (_) | | (_) | / /
\_____| |____/ |_| \___/ \___/ \___/ /_/

Enter the code depicted in ASCII art style.